Amid an ongoing economic climate of uncertainty, the Port of Los Angeles still looks within range of topping the 10 million container mark by the end of the 2025 calendar year.
Port Executive Director Gene Seroka, in his monthly news briefing on Tuesday, Nov. 18, rolled out the portâs October numbers, but continued to express the view that November and December numbers will likely soften.
âWith six weeks to go,â he said, âwe are within reach of the 10 million container unit-mark for the year.â
After 10 months, the port processed 8,655,489 TEUs, 2% more than last year for the same month.
âIf we reach that milestone,â he added, âit would be the third time in our history and something no other Western Hemisphere port has achieved even once.â
October 2025 loaded imports came in at 429,283 TEUs, 7% less than last year. Loaded exports landed at 123,768 TEUs, 1% more than 2024. The Port handled 295,380 empty container units, 8% less than last year.
In 2024, shippers were sending in large amounts of cargo ahead of schedule as a hedge against tariffs, causing warehouse inventories to fill up well before the fall and holiday periods.
Serokaâs guest this month, Jennifer Barrera, president and CEO of the California Chamber of Commerce, said there remains an âuncertainty that all employers and businesses are feelingâ as 2025 comes to a close. Some are able to pivot  predicting possible impacts of tariffs and making forecasts, she said.
But there remains an overall concern about the direction of the economy as 2026 approaches, she said.
Whether âchanges will be long-term or will change with negotiations,â she said, is often impossible to calculate as importers try to gauge when goods need to be shipped.
âItâs a challenging time for sure,â Barrera said.
Also key for the state of California, she said, is reigning in plans that could cause more financial pain to California residents who have seen their cost of living rise.
To that end, the chamber is sponsoring a state ballot initiative â âBuilding an Affordable California Actâ â which with enough signatures could appear on the Nov. 3, 2026, statewide ballot. It seeks to streamline the stateâs environmental review process under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). If passed it could impact projects that support clean energy, housing, infrastructure, and pubic safety.
The aim, Barrera said, is ânot doing anything to make the situation worse.â
It also would call for evaluating policies that âwhile well-intentioned,â she said, âcould be creating some challenges.â Among them, Barrera added, are energy policies and reassessing projects that could ââimpact our cost of livingâ â but still may be accomplished by doing things differently in some cases.
Asked about the port outlook in 2026, Seroka said there isnât enough information to project the future. In the past year, he said there have been âmore than 110 announcementsâ on trade and tariffs emanating from Washington.
âCargo really came to a halt,â he said, but added that when policies were loosened and deadlines extended, importers were able to work with those windows.
â2026 may yield a little more stability,â Seroka said. âI donât think there will be (as many tariff) announcements.â
As for how business sectors are faring, Seroka said itâs not all equal.
Some are seeing upticks in business while âothers have seen a decline in economic growth.â
One example, he said, was McDonaldâs, the fast-food chain that was âhit exceptionally hard by rising costs and lower consumer demand. Different sectors are not always moving in parallel.â
âFor the months of November and December,â he said during a virtual news conference, âI think weâre going to see a reduced volume but we have a good chance of breaking even with the numbers from last year.â
The port had a record year for cargo volumes in 2024, Cordero said.
This year, though, has been characterized by uncertainty surrounding the Trump administrationâs on-again, off-again tariffs, prompting importers to ship early in 2025 to avoid the added costs that could come later, Cordero said.
The port released its October cargo numbers earlier this month, with the data showing POLB has been moving containers ahead of the record-setting pace seen last year, largely because retailers ordered and shipped early. Cargo filled warehouses before tariffs and reciprocal tariffs were implemented in the spring.
Looking ahead to the holiday shopping season, Cordero said, a robust Black Friday is anticipated.
Â